Last week Dennis Stefani correctly pointed out that I did not cite any sources, a hard thing to do in a 500-word letter unless all you do is point to the Intergovernmental panel on Climate Change (IPCC) website as both Dennis and Nielle did. The IPCC is an arm of the UN, a political body. Despite the fact that I reject the idea that a political body should have the final say in science I took Dennis’s advice to see what the IPCC had to say about some of my points.
The quotes following the bullets were taken from pages 114 to 115 of the AR5 technical summary (the part written by scientists, not politicians) available on the IPCC website:
• The actual temperature increases have been far lower than predicted.
“Based on model results there is limited confidence in the predictability of yearly to decadal averages of temperature both for the global average and for some geographical regions.”
• The areas of higher humidity which were predicted to warm first and most did not.
“There is only medium to low confidence in the rate of change of tropospheric warming and its vertical structure. Estimates of tropospheric warming rates encompass surface temperature warming rate estimates.” The low confidence is because the temperatures did not changing as much or in the way that was predicted.
Sounds familiar doesn’t it?
The technical summary is a very interesting read. In it, the scientists express low confidence in almost all of the aspects of their theory. If there really is a 97 per cent consensus then the three per cent of non-believers must all work for the IPCC. The 97 per cent consensus is from a 2013 paper by John Cook.
When Professor David Legates tried to re-create Cooks work he found that only 0.3 per cent of the papers surveyed by Cook explicitly stated that climate change was largely man made.
Professor Legate published his results in the April 2015 edition of Science and Education. How 0.3 per cent became 97 per cent is apparently some sort of new math. In July 2014, the American society of meteorologists surveyed their members and only 52 per cent of respondents agreed that human activity is the primary cause of climate change.
It is a lie to state that the vast majority of scientists agree that human activity is the primary cause of climate change.
As for data tampering just Compare NASA’s 1999 and 2016 reports on the temperatures in the continental US. Have a look at how the hot temperatures in the 1930s have been wiped out in the 2016 report. NASA has erased the 1999 data but it has been archived at www.john-daly.com/usatemps.006.
The last thing I will say on this subject is that I do not want anyone to believe me, I also do not want anyone to believe Neille, Dennis, any politician or political organization.
I want people to seek out the data and make up their own minds. I guarantee the more you know about this issue the less you will want to spend time or money “fighting climate change.”
Richard Suffron
